Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 6.878288 7.599352 8.400102 9.362366 10.496881 11.804092 13.442235
2025-02-02 6.073675 7.110216 8.368698 10.041869 12.260954 15.186008 19.487749
2025-02-09 5.531928 6.723916 8.259733 10.451974 13.626901 18.289902 26.186567
2025-02-16 5.030714 6.277975 7.954703 10.477672 14.390170 20.671871 32.736933
2025-02-23 4.732105 6.045383 7.879838 10.779056 15.582855 24.029792 42.672298
2025-03-02 4.306301 5.582270 7.408156 10.386742 15.544748 25.207878 48.872559
2025-03-09 3.986766 5.236101 7.063324 10.132366 15.673144 26.717624 56.860218
2025-03-16 3.748269 4.984393 6.830470 10.020585 16.024411 28.784966 68.042554
2025-03-23 3.638405 4.911817 6.862891 10.356266 17.291059 33.353154 92.203413
2025-03-30 3.405275 4.632913 6.538986 10.016225 17.120550 34.387697 104.751801
2025-04-06 3.191175 4.369109 6.217944 9.643222 16.812166 34.973161 116.513849
2025-04-13 3.004567 4.136927 5.931638 9.303509 16.518798 35.523097 129.487380
2025-04-20 2.865523 3.983978 5.786754 9.257641 16.983353 38.839736 169.823917
2025-04-27 2.851542 4.032019 5.991803 9.933825 19.371108 50.090403 339.950634
2025-05-04 2.793309 4.002174 6.056501 10.337719 21.234373 61.520294 719.394510
2025-05-11 2.687377 3.884445 5.950900 10.363018 22.088073 69.786128 1438.607918
2025-05-18 2.625648 3.836539 5.967887 10.659509 23.843871 85.053478 6315.043164
2025-05-25 2.486007 3.645934 5.701224 10.273551 23.379729 87.303224 15051.301077
2025-06-01 2.373556 3.496570 5.502577 10.023237 23.302279 92.274789 144496.970631
2025-06-08 2.285886 3.385771 5.369959 9.913226 23.674285 101.273663 NaN
2025-06-15 2.252503 3.368399 5.416970 10.243565 25.710787 128.269913 NaN
2025-06-22 2.152142 3.226255 5.207053 9.908935 25.204820 131.388051 NaN
2025-06-29 2.054804 3.085550 4.992293 9.541768 24.497428 131.760787 NaN